• 4,6198

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  • Christine LagardeFondul Monetar Internațional a redus estimarea de creștere a economiei mondiale pentru anul 2015 de la 4% la 3,8%, din cauza riscurilor geopolitice și a cotațiilor, considerate nerealiste, la care au ajuns acțiunile tranzacționate pe cele mai importante piețe financiare ale lumii.

    În mod paradoxal, economia americană este văzută în continuare la baza acestei creșteri economice, deși acțiunile companiilor americane s-au apreciat cel mai mult în ultimii ani, ajungând la valori mult mai mari decât cele dinaintea crizei.

    ”În economiile avansate, moștenirile boom-ului dinaintea crizei și ale crizei care a urmat, incluzând gradul ridicat de îndatorare public și privat, continuă să arunce o umbră asupra revenirii economice. Piețele emergente se ajustează la rate de creștere economică mai mici decât cele atinse în perioada de boom anterioară crizei și în perioada de revenire de după criză”, se arată în rapotrul World Economic Outlook al FMI, preluat de Bloomberg.

    Potrivit analiștilor Fondului, perioada prelungită în care dobânzile au fost menținute aproape de zero a dus la un risc de supraîncălzire pentru unele piețe financiare, în condițiile în care banii investitorilor au fost direcționați către instrumente care aduceau randamente mai ridicate decât depozitele bancare, urcând artificial prețul acestora.

    Dacă în privința SUA raportul estimează o creștere de 2,2% în acest an și 3,1% în 2015, în creștere de la 1,7%, respectiv 3% la precedentul raport, din luna iulie, zona Euro a primit o ”bulină neagră”, estimarea de creștere pentru 2015 scăzând de la 1,5% la 1,3%, din cauza amenințărilor de deflație cu care se confruntă Banca Centrală Europeană.

    În ceea ce privește România, FMI a crescut estimarea de creștere economică pentru acest an de la 2,2% la 2,4% (sub estimarea de 2,8% a Guvernului și la același nivel cu estimările Deloitte Central Europe), păstrând estimarea pentru anul 2015 la 2,5%.

    Acest articol este proprietatea Pagina de Bănci și este protejat de legea drepturilor de autor. Orice preluare a conținutului se poate face doar în limita a 500 de semne, cu citarea sursei și cu link către pagina acestui articol.

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